February’s temperature forecast seems to be a lot completely different than January’s persistent chilly, however there is a late month wild card that might change that, based on an up to date outlook launched Friday by The Climate Firm and Atmospheric G2.
How February seems to be: For the month as a complete, many of the East and South are anticipated to be hotter than common, significantly from the mid-Atlantic and Southeast to coastal and southern Texas. Nonetheless, a colder February is predicted within the Northwest, Northern Rockies and Northern Plains.
Because the map is an general snapshot for all 28 days within the month, it masks some notable week-to-week temperature swings, which we’ll talk about later.
February 2025 temperature outlook
How the month’s temperatures may evolve:
February ought to begin out usually colder from the Northwest to the Northern Plains, and infrequently into the Nice Lakes and Northeast as some chilly air in western Canada sweeps throughout the northern tier. In the meantime, the southern tier of the nation needs to be hotter than traditional for this time of yr.
Nonetheless, there is a sample change that might occur round mid-month, based on Todd Crawford, Vice President of Meteorology at Atmospheric G2.
“Heading into the again half of February, this represents a low-probability colder threat,” mentioned Crawford, referring to this potential sample change’s impression on temperatures within the East and South.
How the sample change may make it colder later in February: Patterns of the jet stream, together with sharp southward plunges and domes of excessive strain, assist steer storm methods that both ship or deflect chilly air.
As of the time this text was revealed, laptop forecast fashions prompt a dome of excessive strain often known as a Greenland block may kind by mid-month. When that occurs, the jet stream is compelled to take a southward nosedive over the jap U.S., delivering extra persistent chilly there.
On the identical time a constructive part of the Pacific-North American sample may transfer one other dome of excessive strain close to or simply off the West Coast.
If that sample change occurs, it may shift the nation to a heat West – chilly East and South state of affairs for late February. So, chances are you’ll need to take pleasure in your February thaw early within the month, when you can.
Chilly January: This February forecast seems to be fairly a bit completely different than January, because the map under of January temperature anomalies (by way of the twenty seventh) reveals.
In accordance with AG2’s Todd Crawford, it was America’s coldest January since 2014, that is the January when the “polar vortex” first entered into the popular culture lexicon.
The month featured 4 main winter storms in below three weeks, starting with Winter Storm Blair and punctuated by the historic Gulf Coast Winter Storm Enzo.
January 2025 temperature departures from common by way of Jan. 27